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Macroeconomics, risk and global trends reports
Global economic outlook Q1 2024: maintaining momentum
The global economy surprised to the upside in 2023. After a soft start to 2024, we forecast the global economy to grow at a decent clip again this ...
Global economic outlook Q2 2018: how far will growth fall?
The global economy entered 2018 on a high, but momentum has since waned. We expect the wobbles in early 2018 to be short lived. A full-blown trade ...
Global economic outlook Q2 2023: improving outlook defies rising downside risks
The outlook for the global economy is improving but growth remains soft this year. Services are driving the global recovery while manufacturing is ...
Global economic outlook Q2 2024: sticky inflation delays rate cuts and growth pivot
We forecast global GDP growth to slow in 2024. Interest rate cuts in developed economies may be delayed and tempered as inflation looks sticky in k...
Global economic outlook Q3 2022: on the precipice
The global economy is on the precipice and the path to avoiding a global recession is narrow. Although challenges and risks are intensifying, we st...
Global economic outlook Q4 2023: rotating and rebalancing growth drivers
Despite elevated inflation and rising interest rates, the global economy has performed robustly this year. We revise our GDP forecast for 2023 up t...
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