Singapore power markets long-term outlook 2015 Report

Commodity Market Report 05 August 2015

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*Please note that this report only includes an Excel data file if this is indicated in "What's included" below

Report summary

In this H1 2015 full report we assess changes in supply, demand and price. This includes how Singapore's Wholesale Electricity Prices have slumped to operating cost levels at around S$80/MWh. The wholesale price may end up even lower once the Tuaspring plant comes on line by the end of 2015. This therefore raises doubts over the sustainability of the new entrants. Sporadic price spikes since April have offered occasional relief for some companies as it has raised average prices.

Executive summary
- Data Summary
- Market Overview
  - Electricity price decreases further in 2015
  - Electricity futures trading begins
  - Spark spread
Economic outlook
- Economic Indicators
Policy and regulation
- Key stakeholders
  - Key offices
- Energy Policy
  - Competition
  - Fuel mix
  - Pricing
- Power Market Regulation
  - Market operator
  - Generation
  - Transmission & Distribution
  - Retail
  - Regulation
Supply
- Capacity & reserve margin
Costs
- Breakeven Cost By Technology
- New-build economics
  - The new-build plant economics calculates the break-even cost of alternative plant technologies and is determined by the capital and operational costs (namely fuel).
  - Screening Curves
  - Sensitivity on Gas Breakeven Prices by Technology
- Short Run Marginal Cost Analysis
Infrastructure
- In this section
- Singapore Power Transmission Infrastructure
  - Power Infrastructure - Current
  - Power Infrastructure - Map
  - Power Infrastructure – Planned & Possible
Demand
- Power demand
  - GDP Growth and Power Sales
Supply-demand balances
- Annual generation forecast
- Plant utilisation (capacity factor)
- Transmission utilisation across regions
- Captive power
  - Captive Power Demand
  - Current and Future Captive Capacity
Prices
- End-user tariffs
- Power Price Forecast
  - Average Annual System Short-run Cost
  - Spark-spread
Risks and uncertainties
- GDP Sensitivity on Gas Demand