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What companies’ wildcats reveal about their oil and gas outlooks

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Most large oil and gas companies are at pains to stress their readiness for an accelerated energy transition. They are also busy with plans to drill over 130 high-impact exploration wells in deepwater alone. Many other 2022 wells will test large standalone prospects in shelf and onshore plays. These are long-dated investments. By analogy with the pace of commercialisation of some of the most-celebrated discoveries of recent years, 2022’s wildcats will take at least 10-12 years to achieve payback. Big explorers are betting on strong oil and gas demand, with prices to match, lasting until 2035 and beyond.

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Long-dated exploration and demand scenarios
  • High-impact exploration plans
  • Time to exploration payback
  • High-impact explorers are betting against an early decline in oil and gas demand

Tables and charts

This report includes 6 images and tables including:

  • Oil supply and demand scenarios to 2050
  • Gas supply and demand scenarios to 2050
  • Deepwater exploration wells planned to spud in 2022
  • Potential deepwater wildcats in 2022 by peer group
  • Potential deepwater wildcats in 2022 by operator
  • Exploration payback for selected world-class discoveries completed 2015-2021

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    What companies’ wildcats reveal about their oil and gas outlooks

    PDF 1.63 MB