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Commodity Market Report 29 July 2015

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Report summary

In the medium term, we see upside in European and Asian spot prices as Europe continues to require discretionary Russian gas and oil prices recover. In the period 2018-2023, we forecast a collapse in spot price as a result of a global oversupply with growing LNG output from Australia and the US. Thereafter, market fundamentals are expected to rebalance, but abundant global gas and LNG supply will result in prices being consistent with the cost of new supply

Executive summary
- Introduction
- Scenario overview
  - Contestable demand
  - Competing Supply
  - Contestable demand vs competing supply
Prices
- North America
- Europe
- Pacific
Trade
- Pacific Basin - LNG
  - Atlantic Basin - LNG
  - Atlantic Basin - Europe
- Americas
  - LNG Imports
  - LNG Exports
Economic outlook
- Brent oil price assumption
- Coal price assumption
- Carbon price assumption
  - US carbon prices
  - European carbon prices