Commodity Market Report

China gas 2021 outlook to 2050

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*Please note that this report only includes an Excel data file if this is indicated in "What's included" below

China's gas demand is expected to grow by 100% to 2050 in our base case. Most of the gas demand additions will materialise in the current decade. We expect the average growth rate to be 5.5% a year between 2020 and 2030, before slowing to 1.7% a year between 2030 and 2040. Gas demand will peak in the mid-2040s. In this report, we explore the key drivers of gas demand in China and supply sources required to meet that demand. Key topics include: Which sectors are driving gas demand? What is the potential of domestic supply? How do pipeline imports and LNG imports fit in the overall balance? What is the infrastructure development supporting demand creation? How are the industrial landscape and regulatory framework evolving?

Table of contents

  • Introduction
  • All sectors will see gas demand increase, but those with high seasonal profiles will contribute more to incremental volumes
  • Domestic production will remain the backbone in gas supply mix; long-term production potential hinges on unconventional sources
  • Import requirements open doors for global piped gas and LNG suppliers
  • Market players are adapting to gas sector reforms
  • Reaching carbon neutrality could alter gas projections, notably after 2030
    • Key trends
    • Upstream policies
    • Midstream policies
    • Downstream policies
    • Pricing
    • Upstream suppliers
    • Midstream pipeline operators
    • Downstream distribution companies
  • Economic outlook
  • Gas demand overview
  • Industrial sector (including feedstock)
  • Residential, commercial and space heating
  • 21 more item(s)...

Tables and charts

This report includes the following images and tables:

  • China gas demand by sector
  • China gas demand by province
  • China gas market balance
  • Supply changes vs H2 2020 outlook
  • China power market balance
  • Economic indicators
  • Total China gas demand by sector
  • Total China gas demand by province
  • Industrial fuel gas demand by provinces
  • Feedstock gas demand by top province
  • Residential and commercial gas demand
  • Winter space heating gas demand
  • 29 more item(s)...

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    China Gas 2021 Outlook To 2050 With Index.pdf

    PDF 2.34 MB

  • Document

    China Gas Data 2021 Outlook To 2050.xlsx

    XLSX 1.52 MB

  • Document

    China gas 2021 outlook to 2050

    PDF 4.97 MB