Country Report

China coal supply summary

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We expect the limited production elasticity in 2025 with less than 1% year-on-year growth due to 1) safety inspections will continue to impact production growth especially in Shanxi; 2) the utilization rate has almost peaked with limited room to further enhance; 3) new capacity release has been slowed down since 2022 and will further decelerate in 2025. Total cash cost in 2024 is estimated to edge down from 2023 level to around RMB435/t due to lower royalties associated with lower coal price. Fundamental improvement on the weighted average C1 cash cost, in the long run, is facing many challenges, such as the tangled labour issue, the intelligent development and the shifting of China’s energy consumption structure.

Table of contents

  • Thermal production
  • Metallurgical production
  • Non-coastal costs
  • Coastal seaborne costs
  • Rail
    • Route one
    • Route two
    • Route three
    • Route four
  • Southern China rail infrastructure
  • Western China rail infrastructure
  • Road
  • Shipping
  • Coastal shipping

Tables and charts

This report includes 3 images and tables including:

  • Northern China rail network (key rail lines)
  • Southern China rail network
  • Western China rail network

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    China coal supply summary

    PDF 1.92 MB

  • Document

    Coal Supply China Summary Base Case Slidepack.pdf

    PDF 594.04 KB

  • Document

    Coal Supply China Summary Key Takeways Slidepack.pdf

    PDF 513.62 KB

  • Document

    Coal Supply China Geology.pdf

    PDF 5.82 MB

  • Document

    Coal Supply China Location Maps.pdf

    PDF 694.42 KB

  • Document

    Coal Supply China Quality.pdf

    PDF 565.73 KB

  • Document

    Coal Supply China Regulatory Framework And Fiscal Terms.pdf

    PDF 347.08 KB

  • Document

    Coal Supply China Reserves And Resources.pdf

    PDF 193.35 KB